Question

Will at least twice as many deportations by U.S. ICE occur in Fiscal Year 2025 compared with Fiscal Year 2024?

32 comments32

Total Forecasters1285

Community Prediction

20%

(12% - 31%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jan 10, 2025

Closes:

Dec 1, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 19, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 1, 2025

ACX 2025 Prediction Contest

Law

Politics

2025 Leaderboard

What will be the average number of noncitizens removed from the United States for fiscal years 2026 through 2028?

530k

Will the US establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before January 3, 2027?

60%

How many southwest land border encounters will be reported by US Customs and Border Protection in the following fiscal years?

1.77M