Question
How many farmed birds will be killed in the United States due to bird flu in 2025?
Total Forecasters166
Community Prediction
50.8M birds
(43.7M birds - 60.6M birds)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <15M | 1.5% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 43.67M | — |
| median | 50.83M | — |
| upper 75% | 60.62M | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >75M | 7.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 20, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 25, 2024