Question

Will Mars have a permanent population of 10,000 before the Moon does?

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Total Forecasters240

Community Prediction38%

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50%

community: 38%

median 38.0%mean 39.1%

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SynthBioWpnsKill1GHum2050

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How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

2.45

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Authors:

SynthBioWpnsKill1GHum2050

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How many humans will have landed on the moon before anyone does on Mars?

Will there be a sustained human settlement on the Moon for at least 1 year before 2030?

What will be the maximum number of people simultaneously on the moon in 2030?

2.45