Question
When will the first person reach 150 years of age?
Total Forecasters13
Community Prediction
2122
(2084 - 2156)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <May 2058 | 2.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 2084 | — |
| median | 2122 | — |
| upper 75% | 2156 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2199 | 4.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 11, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2199
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2200
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 15, 2024