Question
When will a referendum on Quebec independence take place?
Total Forecasters6
Community Prediction
08 Jul 2028
(14 Nov 2027 - Aug 2034)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <05 Nov 2026 | 3.6% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 14 Nov 2027 | — |
| median | 08 Jul 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Aug 2034 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2034 | 23.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Nov 27, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 30, 2024