Question

What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q4 2025?

Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
8.05%
(5.35% - 14.7%)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<1%0.3%
Quartiles
lower 25%5.352%
median8.054%
upper 75%14.72%
Upper bound
>20%18.2%
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024