Question
What will be the average tariff on goods entering the United States for Q4 2025?
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
8.05%
(5.35% - 14.7%)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<1% | 0.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 5.352% | — |
median | 8.054% | — |
upper 75% | 14.72% | — |
Upper bound | ||
>20% | 18.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Dec 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 20, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 17, 2024