Question

Will an H5 virus receive an "emergence" risk rating categorized as "high" by the US CDC Influenza Risk Assessment Tool before January 1, 2026?

Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
5.8%
(4% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 5.8%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Opened:Oct 24, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 1, 2024