Question
When will the next person reach 120 years of age?
Total Forecasters12
Community Prediction
Nov 2036
(Apr 2033 - Jun 2042)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Apr 2033 | — |
| median | Nov 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | Jun 2042 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2050 | 7.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2051
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 30, 2024