Question
When will an AI system, operating independently, solve or determine the undecidability of a Millennium Prize Problem and have its proof or disproof published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal?
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction
Jul 2036
(<01 Jan 2030 - Sep 2047)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2030 | 27.8% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | <01 Jan 2030 | — |
| median | Jul 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2047 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2070 | 8.6% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Oct 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2070
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2070
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 4, 2024