Question

Will Israel invade Lebanon before January 1, 2025?

Resolved:Yes
14
35
Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99.9%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
4.0
Community Peer Score
1.5
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Sep 20, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 23, 2024
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