Question
If there is an artificial intelligence catastrophe this century, when will it happen?
Total Forecasters161
Community Prediction
May 2036
(18 Jul 2029 - Dec 2050)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 18 Jul 2029 | — |
| median | May 2036 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2050 | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jun 27, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jun 27, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 29, 2019