Question

Before 2025, will laws be in place requiring that AI systems that emulate humans must reveal to people that they are AI?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters206

Community Prediction34%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 34%

median 34.0%mean 38.9%

Authors:

ghabs

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Google Assistant

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

38%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

28%

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

ghabs

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Law

Artificial Intelligence

Artificial intelligence

Computer science

Google Assistant

OpenAI o1 Model Warning Issued by Scientist: 'Particularly Dangerous'

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

Congress is gridlocked. These members are convinced AI legislation could break through

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2024

How We Talk About AI Is Important: A Case Study

Psychology Today•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will AI be given legal rights or be protected from abuse anywhere in the United States before 2035?

38%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

28%

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

60%