Question
How much will GiveWell guess it will cost to get an outcome as good as saving a life, at the end of 2021?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters65
Community Prediction
631
(476 - 1079)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <300 | 5.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 475.7 | — |
| median | 631.4 | — |
| upper 75% | 1079 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >6000 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2019
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 2, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 3, 2019
Authors:
Opened:Jun 1, 2019
Closes:Jun 1, 2021
Resolves:Feb 2, 2022
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 3, 2019