Question

How far away will the closest known Black Hole lay in 2031?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction1.01k

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

...

657.7

1.009k

1.166k

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

5.2e-1

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Space

Natural Sciences

Outline of space science

When Will The Milky Way Smash Into The Andromeda Galaxy? It May Already Be Underway, Say Scientists

Forbes•Sep 13, 2024

Stephen Hawking Was Wrong—Extremal Black Holes Are Possible

Wired•Sep 15, 2024

One Black Hole May Pass Through Our Solar System Every Decade, Study Finds

Newsweek•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will gravitational waves from the merger of supermassive black holes be detected by November 30, 2027?

70%

How close to Earth will the next 10 Interstellar Objects pass?

5.2e-1

Will we know what Dark Matter is before 2050?

51%