Question

Will US troops intervene in Venezuela?

Resolved :No

22 comments22

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction26%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 26%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

63.5

Community Peer Score

5.9

median 26.0%mean 27.5%

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Lima Group

Venezuela

National Assembly (Venezuela)

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before these dates?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

James

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Lima Group

Venezuela

National Assembly (Venezuela)

Venezuela Arrests US Citizens Over Alleged CIA Plot To Assassinate Maduro

AntiWar•Sep 17, 2024

Venezuela Arrests Three Americans Amid Claims Of U.S.-Led Plot To Kill Maduro

Daily Wire•Sep 17, 2024

Three Americans Arrested Over Alleged Plot Involving Hundreds Of Weapons To Kill Venezuela’s Nicolás Maduro

Daily Caller•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

63%

If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will Brazil respond with military forces?

20%