Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction
8%
(5% - 22.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
Opened:Jul 10, 2024
Closes:Jul 11, 2024
Resolves:Oct 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2024
Include Bots:Yes