Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

conditional

condition

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?

if yes

if no

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

50%

Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?

32%

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Make a Prediction

Netanyahu PM Through 2024?	Israel-Hezbollah: 1000 deaths before 2025?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 50%

Forecast Timeline

Yes

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

92%

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

87%

Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024?

19%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Conditional Cup

Geopolitics

Netanyahu hints at leadership shakeup as stopping Hezbollah attacks becomes an official war goal

New York Post•Sep 17, 2024

Israel's Threat To Wage War on Hizbullah Is Getting More Serious

Lew Rockwell•Sep 18, 2024

WATCH: Netanyahu Posts Mysterious 10-second Video, Hinting at War Against Hezbollah

Breitbart•Sep 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain Prime Minister of Israel throughout 2024?

92%

Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?

87%

Will there be an all-out war between Israel and Hezbollah in 2024?

19%