Question

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

162

265 comments265

Total Forecasters2670

Community Prediction

21%

(12% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 21%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2019

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

13.1%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.65

Will a world war begin before 2151?

60%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Jan 15, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2050

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 15, 2019

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

13.1%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.65

Will a world war begin before 2151?

60%