Question

Will there be a "World War Three" before 2050?

147

236 comments236

Total Forecasters1122

Community Prediction30%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

median 30.0%mean 33.3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

10%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.24

Will a world war begin before 2151?

59%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Erik Hoel's 2050 Predictions Series

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

10%

How much will world population decline after World War 3, if such a war happens by 2050?

4.24

Will a world war begin before 2151?

59%