Question

Pandemic series: how likely is emergence of a deadly new blood-borne pathogen?

Resolved :No

2 comments2

Total Forecasters66

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

5.4

Community Peer Score

20.1

median 35.0%mean 36.0%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Epidemiology

Infectious disease

History

Marburg virus disease

Ebola virus disease

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Comments

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