Question
When will the Windows 10 desktop market share be surpassed by another Windows version?
Total Forecasters10
Community Prediction
06 Jan 2026
(25 Aug 2025 - 09 Mar 2027)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <01 Jan 2025 | 2.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 25 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 06 Jan 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 09 Mar 2027 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >31 Dec 2027 | 7.5% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 13, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2024