Question

Will the National Ignition Facility announce a shot at break-even fusion by start of 2017?

Resolved :No

7 comments7

Total Forecasters87

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

40.9

Community Peer Score

24.2

median 20.0%mean 22.5%

Authors:

Adrian

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Nuclear Technology & Risks

Nuclear Science and Techniques

National Ignition Facility

Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

Inertial confinement fusion

When will a fusion reactor reach the following energy gain (Q) milestones?

2040-01-20

When will a private fusion company first report a yearly profit?

2050-06-26

When will the first 100 Megawatt fusion-based electrical generation facility come into service?

2040-12-25

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