Question

When will the Republican candidate next win the Popular Vote in a US Presidential Election?

Resolved:Annulled
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
<05 Nov 2024
(<05 Nov 2024 - 16 Jun 2025)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<05 Nov 202462.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%<05 Nov 2024
median<05 Nov 2024
upper 75%16 Jun 2025
Upper bound
>21010.1%

What was the final result?Annulled

Authors:
Opened:Apr 29, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2100
Resolves:Jan 1, 2101
Spot Scoring Time:May 2, 2024