Question

When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model?

Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
11 Jul 2025
(04 Apr 2025 - 27 Nov 2025)

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%04 Apr 2025
median11 Jul 2025
upper 75%27 Nov 2025
Upper bound
>30 Dec 202522.8%
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024