Question
When will OpenAI publicly release Sora, its text-to-video model?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
11 Jul 2025
(04 Apr 2025 - 27 Nov 2025)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 04 Apr 2025 | — |
| median | 11 Jul 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Nov 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30 Dec 2025 | 22.8% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 16, 2024
Closes:Dec 29, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 19, 2024