Question
When will a vaccine for any major neurodegenerative disease receive regulatory approval?
Total Forecasters5
Community Prediction
Feb 2037
(May 2031 - >Jan 2040)
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CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <28 Apr 2024 | 1.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | May 2031 | — |
| median | Feb 2037 | — |
| upper 75% | >Jan 2040 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 40.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Apr 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 20, 2024