Question
When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?
Total Forecasters102
Community Prediction
16 Aug 2025
(12 Jun 2025 - 25 Oct 2025)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 12 Jun 2025 | — |
| median | 16 Aug 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 25 Oct 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2026 | 11.2% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 31, 2024