Question

Will the AI's major professional society take a position on "killer robots"?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters15

Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

71.1

Community Peer Score

3.2

median 17.0%mean 23.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Social Sciences

Campaign to Stop Killer Robots

Lethal autonomous weapon

Military science

Robotics

Artificial intelligence

Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons

Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence

Will the United States sign a Treaty on the Prohibition of Lethal Autonomous Weapons Systems before 2031?

12%

Will "slaughterbots" kill at least 50 people outside a military conflict by 2035?

66%

Will an international AI regulatory agency, like IAEA, for oversight of transformative AI systems be established before 2030?

59%

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