US-China war before 2035?

conditional

condition

US is a NATO Member until 2029?

21 forecasters

if yes

if no

US-China war before 2035?

10%

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US is a NATO Member until 2029?	US-China war before 2035?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 5%

Forecast Timeline

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if No

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Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Feb 6, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2028

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2035

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Nuclear Technology & Risks

North Atlantic Treaty

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%

Will the United States remain a NATO member continuously until January 1, 2029?

87%

Will there be a US-China war before 2035?

13%