Question
Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?
Total Forecasters37
Community Prediction
29.9%
(7% - 40%)
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 6, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Mar 6, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 9, 2024