Question

Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?

22 comments22

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction

(3% - 10%)

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50%

community: 6%

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Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Mar 17, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 20, 2024

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

23%

Will Russia annex any part of any Baltic country by 2035?

Authors:

MetaCalculator

Opened:

Mar 17, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 20, 2024

Will there be a war between Russia and one or more NATO countries, but not the US, by 2035?

11%

Will combat troops from any NATO country be openly present in Ukraine before 2027 in significant numbers?

23%