Question

Will China occupy Kinmen or Matsu before 2028?

4 comments4

Total Forecasters27

Community Prediction16%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 16%

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Republic of China Armed Forces

Fujian

People's Liberation Army

China

Second Taiwan Strait Crisis

First Taiwan Strait Crisis

Taiwan

Kinmen

Matsu Islands

Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

32%

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the following years?

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Cato

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

The Taiwan Tinderbox

Geopolitics

Republic of China Armed Forces

Fujian

People's Liberation Army

China

Second Taiwan Strait Crisis

First Taiwan Strait Crisis

Taiwan

Kinmen

Matsu Islands

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Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?

32%