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Will the US and China be party to any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development in the following years?
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| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | no | |||
2030 | 19% | |||
2035 | 30% | |||
2040 | 40% | |||
Resolved Jan 1, 2025
Community Baseline Score
98.2
Community Peer Score
1.0
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Will any AI regulation treaty that controls or monitors AI development be signed by the US and China before the following years?
Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?
Will the US restrict use of generative AI via API before 2026?
Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040