Question
When will Tesla deliver a new model cheaper than existing models?
Total Forecasters8
Community Prediction
24 Dec 2025
(01 Aug 2025 - 27 Jun 2026)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 24 Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 27 Jun 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2032 | 0.1% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jun 9, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2032
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 12, 2024