Question

Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters433
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
83.2
Community Peer Score
23.7
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024