Question

Will there be a bilateral cease-fire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict in 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters1135
Community Prediction
0.3%
(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
85.4
Community Peer Score
24.6
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Jan 30, 2025
Resolves:Jan 30, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024