Question

Which of Scott Aaronson's five AI worlds will come to pass?

37
167
231 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 230

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AI WorldMe
AI-Fizzle
11.8%
Futurama
27.1%
AI-Dystopia
24.7%
Singularia
20%
Paperclipalypse
16.5%
Total: ?
(? remaining)
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Opened:Jan 22, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 25, 2024