Question

Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters72

Community Prediction

18%

(10% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 18%

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Authors:

JimKat

Opened:

Nov 24, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 27, 2023

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

1.5%

Authors:

JimKat

Opened:

Nov 24, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Scheduled resolution:

Dec 31, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 27, 2023

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?

10%

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

1.5%