Question
When will an intranasal SARS-CoV-2 vaccine be approved by the US?
Total Forecasters4
Community Prediction
22 Oct 2025
(04 May 2025 - 16 Sep 2026)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 04 May 2025 | — |
| median | 22 Oct 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | 16 Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2036 | 0.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 4, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Nov 4, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 7, 2023