Question

Assuming the neuronal input-output FRO is funded by 2025, will a model of the C. elegans nervous system be developed, before 2031, that can predict what every neuron will do when one is stimulated?

8 comments8

Total Forecasters16

Community Prediction

25%

(20% - 33%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved

Authors:

NMorrison

Opened:

Sep 28, 2023

Closed:

Dec 31, 2023

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2031

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 15, 2023

FRO-casting

Complete Map of Neural Input-Output Functions

Natural Sciences

2023 Leaderboard

Caenorhabditis elegans

Federation of American Scientists

Optogenetics

Before 2030, will C. elegans be uploaded to the satisfaction of top computational neuroscientists?

33%

Will a exascale volume of connectome be mapped and revealed to the public by June 2031?

59%

When will the following milestones in mapping and reconstruction of a mouse (or larger) brain be completed?

Apr 2036