Question

Will an East African Federation exist and govern before 2040?

17 comments17

Total Forecasters14

Community Prediction24%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 23.7%

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%

Will at least 10 countries ratify a new international treaty on pandemic prevention and preparedness before 2025?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BrunoParga

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

African Union

East African Federation

The Biggest Migration Since the Barbarian Invasions of Rome

Lew Rockwell•Sep 12, 2024

East is East, West is West − and Turkey is looking to forge its own BRICS path between the two

The Conversation•Sep 12, 2024

The Law of Force or the Force of Law

CounterPunch•Sep 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will three of the listed countries ratify an agreement to form the East African Federation before 2030?

Will the United Nations have more than 193 member states before January 1, 2026?

25%