Question
When will there be a bilateral ceasefire or peace agreement in the Russo-Ukraine conflict?
Total Forecasters321
Community Prediction
09 Feb 2026
(15 Aug 2025 - 13 Dec 2026)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 15 Aug 2025 | — |
| median | 09 Feb 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 13 Dec 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >01 Jan 2030 | 2.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Sep 2, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 4, 2023