Question

Will Yevgeny V. Prigozhin be confirmed to be dead before November 2023?

Resolved:Yes

42 comments42

Total Forecasters126

Community Prediction

99%

(98% - 99.8%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score

0.4

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Aug 24, 2023

Closes:

Oct 31, 2023

Resolves:

Oct 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 24, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

99%

Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?

20%

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

76%

Authors:

Gaia

Opened:

Aug 24, 2023

Closes:

Oct 31, 2023

Resolves:

Oct 31, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 24, 2023

Geopolitics

2023 Leaderboard

Will 1 million Russian personnel losses be reported before 2026?

99%

Will any court sentence Luigi Mangione to death before 2030?

20%

Will Rodrigo Duterte be convicted of any crime by the International Criminal Court by 2030?

76%