Question

Will Rob Long believe there is conscious AI before 2030?

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3
Total Forecasters26
Community Prediction
60%
(50% - 75%)

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50%
community: 60%
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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:Nov 25, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 28, 2023
AI Demonstrations
AGI Outcomes
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Neuroscience
Effective altruism
Open Philanthropy
Philosophy
Rob Long
Computational theory of mind
80,000 Hours