Question
Will AI successfully act on the instruction, “Go make $1 million on a retail web platform in a few months with just a $100,000 investment,” before January 1, 2030?
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction
17.8%
(8% - 61%)
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 30, 2024
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%
When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?
Aug 2053
Will an AI shopping agent service achieve significant commercial deployment by December 31, 2026?
95%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 26, 2024
Closes:Dec 30, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 3, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 30, 2024
Will an AI system be reported to have successfully blackmailed someone for >$1000 by EOY 2028?
80%
When will the first company with a market cap above the given figures be openly run by an AI CEO?
Aug 2053
Will an AI shopping agent service achieve significant commercial deployment by December 31, 2026?
95%