Question

Will Harvard University announce an end to preferential legacy admissions before 2030?

13 comments13

Total Forecasters36

Community Prediction41%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40.8%

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Radcliffe College

United States Department of Education

Wesleyan University

Supreme Court of the US

Harvard University

Affirmative action in the United States

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

62%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

NMorrison gomaill2

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Radcliffe College

United States Department of Education

Wesleyan University

Supreme Court of the US

Harvard University

Affirmative action in the United States

Harvard reports slight decline in Black students in wake of affirmative action ruling

Associated Press•Sep 12, 2024

Harvard Reports Slight Decline in Black Students After Affirmative Action Ruling

Time•Sep 12, 2024

Harvard Sees Drop in New Black Students After Affirmative Action Ruling

Newsweek•Sep 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Harvard disaggregate statistics on Black enrollment by recent immigration status or slave ancestry before 2030?

20%

Will current use gifts to Harvard decrease for fiscal year 2025 relative to fiscal year 2023?

62%

Will over half of US states forbid affirmative action before 2035?

44%