Question

Will transformative AI result in a singleton (as opposed to a multipolar world)?

11
3
Total Forecasters57
Community Prediction
45.3%
(17% - 80%)

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50%
community: 45.3%
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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:Nov 10, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2035
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 13, 2023
AGI Outcomes
AI Safety
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Polarity (international relations)
Gross domestic product
Nick Bostrom
Singleton (mathematics)