Question

What will be the total burned area (in hectares) of the Canadian wildfires on June 14, 2023?

Resolved:Above upper bound
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
4.37M
(4.16M - >4.5M)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<3M1.5%
Quartiles
lower 25%4.156M
median4.373M
upper 75%>4.5M
Upper bound
>4.5M34.0%

What was the final result?Above upper bound

Community Baseline Score
18.7
Community Peer Score
57.7
Authors:
Opened:Jun 8, 2023
Closes:Jun 13, 2023
Resolves:Jun 19, 2023
Spot Scoring Time:Jun 9, 2023