conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Crimea-Russia Land Bridge Severed by 2024? | Date Putin Exits Presidency of Russia |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
The question "Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2024?" has closed, so these conditionals are closed for forecasting. They will resolve when the question "When will Vladimir Putin cease to hold the office of President of Russia?" resolves.
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 13 Jan 2026 | — |
| median | 11 Mar 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2035 | 1.2% | — |
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2022
Closed:Dec 31, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035
Authors:
Opened:Nov 17, 2022
Closed:Dec 31, 2023
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2035