Question

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2030?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters44

Community Prediction83%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 83%

Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity standards

Computer science

Cyber-security regulation

Mathematics

United States

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

54%

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

60%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

28%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred Lawrence

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Regulation of AI

Politics

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Cybersecurity standards

Computer science

Cyber-security regulation

Mathematics

United States

OpenAI o1 Model Warning Issued by Scientist: 'Particularly Dangerous'

Newsweek•Sep 13, 2024

A.I. Pioneers Call for Protections Against ‘Catastrophic Risks’

New York Times•Sep 16, 2024

Congress is gridlocked. These members are convinced AI legislation could break through

Associated Press•Sep 17, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. have passed legislation that requires cybersecurity around AI models before 2026?

54%

Will global-catastrophic-risk-focused evaluation of certain AI systems by accredited bodies become mandatory in the US before 2035?

60%

Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?

28%