Question

Will Kim Jong-un still be the de facto leader of North Korea on 1 January 2020?

Resolved :Yes

15 comments15

Total Forecasters144

Community Prediction96%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 96%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

91.9

Community Peer Score

3.7

median 96.0%mean 93.1%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Workers' Party of Korea

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Korea Herald•Sep 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will Kim Jong Un no longer be the leader of North Korea?

2046-08-14

Will there be a major famine in North Korea before 2025?

Will Xi Jinping continue leading China in 2030?

60%